EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 13, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Brunton Park
Carlisle0 - 2Stoke
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Gillingham 4-1 Carlisle
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Stoke 1-0 Coventry
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30pm in Championship
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30pm in Championship
We said: Carlisle United 1-3 Stoke City
While much could depend on the strength of the two starting lineups, it may only act as a way of closing up the scoreline. We are backing Stoke to come through this contest in convincing style, taking an early lead and easing to a comfortable victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 62.41%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 16.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.86%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 1-0 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Carlisle United | Draw | Stoke City |
16.56% ( -0) | 21.03% ( -0) | 62.41% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 51.66% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
