Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 45%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 29.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 1-0 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.