FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round

Nov 6, 2021 at 3pm UK

Sixfields Stadium

Northampton
2 - 2
Cambridge

Etete (6'), Lewis (35')
Horsfall (12'), McWilliams (87')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Smith (14'), Masterson (66')
Smith (63')

Coverage of the FA Cup First Round clash between Northampton Town and Cambridge United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 44.53%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 30.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 0-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Northampton Town	Draw	Cambridge United
44.53%	25.44%	30.02%

Both teams to score 54.23%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.65%

49.35%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.6%

71.4%

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.87%

22.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.49%

55.5%

Cambridge United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.64%

30.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.45%

66.55%

Score Analysis

Northampton Town 44.53%

Cambridge United 30.02%

Draw 25.43%

Northampton Town	Draw	Cambridge United
1-0 @ 10.13% 2-1 @ 9.11% 2-0 @ 7.64% 3-1 @ 4.58% 3-0 @ 3.84% 3-2 @ 2.73% 4-1 @ 1.73% 4-0 @ 1.45% 4-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.29% Total : 44.53%	1-1 @ 12.07% 0-0 @ 6.72% 2-2 @ 5.43% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.43%	0-1 @ 8.01% 1-2 @ 7.2% 0-2 @ 4.77% 1-3 @ 2.86% 2-3 @ 2.16% 0-3 @ 1.9% Other @ 3.13% Total : 30.02%