Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 36.76%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 35.29% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.85%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 (11.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cambridge United in this match.