Northampton

3 - 0

Stevenage

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 38.14%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 32.32% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.58%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (11.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.