Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarpsborg 08 win with a probability of 47.02%. A win for Stabaek Football had a probability of 27.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarpsborg 08 win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Stabaek Football win was 0-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sarpsborg 08 would win this match.