Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 62.21%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 16.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.47%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Heracles win it was 0-1 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.
