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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 42.94%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 34.4% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.17%) and 2-0 (5.51%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.
Result | ||
Vitesse | Draw | FC Utrecht |
42.94% | 22.66% | 34.4% |
Both teams to score 66.07% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.33% | 34.67% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.38% | 56.62% |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.21% | 16.79% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.26% | 46.74% |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.39% | 20.61% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.84% | 53.16% |
Score Analysis |
Vitesse | Draw | FC Utrecht |
2-1 @ 8.7% 1-0 @ 6.17% 2-0 @ 5.51% 3-1 @ 5.18% 3-2 @ 4.09% 3-0 @ 3.28% 4-1 @ 2.31% 4-2 @ 1.82% 4-0 @ 1.46% 4-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.47% Total : 42.94% | 1-1 @ 9.75% 2-2 @ 6.87% 0-0 @ 3.46% 3-3 @ 2.15% Other @ 0.43% Total : 22.66% | 1-2 @ 7.7% 0-1 @ 5.46% 0-2 @ 4.32% 1-3 @ 4.06% 2-3 @ 3.62% 0-3 @ 2.27% 1-4 @ 1.6% 2-4 @ 1.43% Other @ 3.94% Total : 34.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 4 | 21 | 21 |
2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 16 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 16 |
4 | FC Twente | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 14 |
5 | Ajax | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 10 |
6 | Feyenoord | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 10 |
7 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 10 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 10 |
9 | Groningen | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
10 | Heracles | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 9 |
11 | Willem II | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 8 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 7 |
14 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
15 | Heerenveen | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
16 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 6 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 18 | -16 | 2 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 19 | -16 | 0 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |