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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 75.49%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Cambuur had a probability of 9.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.66%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.04%), while for a Cambuur win it was 1-2 (2.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
Result | ||
Feyenoord | Draw | Cambuur |
75.49% ( 1.7) | 15.06% ( -0.76) | 9.45% ( -0.94) |
Both teams to score 51.25% ( -0.92) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.82% ( 0.73) | 34.18% ( -0.73) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.93% ( 0.82) | 56.07% ( -0.82) |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.42% ( 0.53) | 7.57% ( -0.53) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
72.88% ( 1.35) | 27.11% ( -1.35) |
Cambuur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.44% ( -1.33) | 44.55% ( 1.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.42% ( -1.09) | 80.57% ( 1.09) |
Score Analysis |
Feyenoord | Draw | Cambuur |
2-0 @ 11.23% ( 0.18) 3-0 @ 9.66% ( 0.4) 2-1 @ 9.08% ( -0.19) 1-0 @ 8.71% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 7.81% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.41) 4-1 @ 5.04% ( 0.16) 5-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.29) 3-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.1) 5-1 @ 2.6% ( 0.15) 4-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.16) 6-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.09) 5-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.15% Total : 75.49% | 1-1 @ 7.04% ( -0.34) 2-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.22) 0-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.97% Total : 15.06% | 1-2 @ 2.85% ( -0.25) 0-1 @ 2.73% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.1) Other @ 1.78% Total : 9.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 13 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 45 | 9 | 36 | 36 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 31 |
3 | Ajax | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 27 | 11 | 16 | 29 |
4 | Feyenoord | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 28 |
5 | FC Twente | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 25 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 20 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 18 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
9 | NECNijmegen | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 16 |
10 | Willem II | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 16 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 16 |
12 | Heerenveen | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 14 |
13 | Heracles | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 13 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Groningen | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 30 | -24 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 33 | -21 | 5 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |