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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 62.44%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for FC Twente had a probability of 18.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.54%) and 1-0 (7.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.64%), while for a FC Twente win it was 1-2 (4.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
Result | ||
Feyenoord | Draw | FC Twente |
62.44% ( 0.2) | 19.41% ( -0.1) | 18.15% ( -0.1) |
Both teams to score 60.84% ( 0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.84% ( 0.29) | 34.16% ( -0.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.96% ( 0.33) | 56.04% ( -0.33) |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.48% ( 0.13) | 10.53% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.78% ( 0.3) | 34.22% ( -0.3) |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.99% ( 0.07) | 32.01% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.53% ( 0.08) | 68.47% ( -0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Feyenoord | Draw | FC Twente |
2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.54% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.59% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 7.3% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 4.16% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 4.11% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.85% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.02) 5-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.02) Other @ 4.14% Total : 62.44% | 1-1 @ 8.64% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.28% Total : 19.41% | 1-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 3.84% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.23% Total : 18.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 9 | 28 | 30 |
2 | Ajax | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 25 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 25 |
4 | Feyenoord | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 22 |
5 | FC Twente | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 21 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 17 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 15 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
10 | NECNijmegen | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 13 |
11 | Willem II | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
12 | Heracles | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
13 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Heerenveen | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 11 |
15 | Groningen | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 9 |
16 | PEC Zwolle | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 9 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 23 | -18 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | 28 | -18 | 4 |
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