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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | Feyenoord | 6 | 12 | 16 |
3 | PSV Eindhoven | 6 | 17 | 15 |
4 | AZ Alkmaar | 6 | 7 | 14 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ajax | 6 | 18 | 18 |
2 | Feyenoord | 6 | 12 | 16 |
3 | PSV Eindhoven | 6 | 17 | 15 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 50.63%. A win for Feyenoord had a probability of 27.85% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.29%) and 1-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Feyenoord win was 1-2 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.09%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Feyenoord |
50.63% ( -0.57) | 21.52% ( 0.2) | 27.85% ( 0.37) |
Both teams to score 66.58% ( -0.42) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.53% ( -0.68) | 32.47% ( 0.68) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.89% ( -0.79) | 54.11% ( 0.79) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.73% ( -0.41) | 13.27% ( 0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.93% ( -0.84) | 40.07% ( 0.84) |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.77% ( -0.12) | 23.23% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.86% ( -0.18) | 57.14% ( 0.18) |
Score Analysis |
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Feyenoord |
2-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.29% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 6.18% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 4.23% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 3.12% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 2.14% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.06) 4-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.04) 5-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.2% Total : 50.63% | 1-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 6.7% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.46% Total : 21.52% | 1-2 @ 6.63% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 4.5% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.98% Total : 27.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Willem II | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
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