Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 61.24%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 16.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.12%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for an ADO Den Haag win it was 0-1 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Groningen would win this match.
