Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 37.06%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 35.9% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.09%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 0-1 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
