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AFC Wimbledon
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Walsall
Championship header 2

League Two
AFC Wimbledon
League Two | Gameweek 23
Dec 30, 2024 at 8pm UK
Kingsmeadow
Gillingham

AFC Wimbledon
1 - 0
Gillingham

Stevens (50')
Stevens (56'), Ogundere (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Gale (56'), Little (74'), Dack (77'), Ehmer (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Gillingham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-1 Swindon
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two

Gillingham

All competitions
Last Game: Colchester 2-0 Gillingham
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two

We said: AFC Wimbledon 2-1 Gillingham

 Wimbledon may have won just one of their previous six home league games, but they will still head into the final round of fixtures of 2024 with the league's joint second-best home record, and we think that they will take advantage of their familiar surroundings to claim a narrow victory, especially as Gillingham have lost four of their last six away league matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 52.07%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 22.07%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (7.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for AFC Wimbledon in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for AFC Wimbledon.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawGillingham
52.07% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 25.87% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 22.07% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 46.19% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.47% (0.036999999999999 0.04)56.52% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.48% (0.029 0.03)77.51% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.22% (0.015000000000001 0.02)21.78% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.02% (0.021000000000001 0.02)54.97% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.05% (0.035999999999994 0.04)40.94% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.49% (0.029 0.03)77.51% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 52.05%
    Gillingham 22.07%
    Draw 25.86%
AFC WimbledonDrawGillingham
1-0 @ 13.59% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.35% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 5.26% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.7% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-2 @ 2.1% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-0 @ 2.01%
4-1 @ 1.79% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 52.05%
1-1 @ 12.13%
0-0 @ 8.92% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.13% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 25.86%
0-1 @ 7.96% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 5.42% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 3.56% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-3 @ 1.61% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.23% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.06% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.23%
Total : 22.07%

How you voted: AFC Wimbledon vs Gillingham

AFC Wimbledon
78.3%
Draw
13.0%
Gillingham
8.7%
46
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
AFC Wimbledon
2-0
Gillingham
Bugiel (33', 65')
Neufville (87')

Ehmer (11'), Masterson (36'), Clark (58')
Masterson (38')
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Gillingham
1-0
AFC Wimbledon
Masterson (85')

Tilley (43')
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 34
Gillingham
2-1
AFC Wimbledon
Ehmer (58'), Alexander (66')
Al-Hamadi (52')
Aug 9, 2022 7.45pm
First Round
AFC Wimbledon
0-2
Gillingham

Assal (62')
Mandron (90'), Green (90+2')
Ehmer (43'), Reeves (69'), Green (81')
> Preview
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
AFC Wimbledon
2-0
Gillingham
Chislett (15'), Currie (71')
Nightingale (9'), Marsh (47'), Maghoma (63')

Ehmer (35'), Lee (47'), Reeves (57'), Wright (67'), Kashket (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall22154341192249
2AFC Wimbledon22114733181537
3Notts County22107535241137
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster2310763227537
5Port Vale2310762724337
6Grimsby Town23121103334-137
7Salford City2210662619736
8Crewe AlexandraCrewe229942619736
9Chesterfield2397737271034
10Bradford CityBradford229762824434
11MK Dons219483429531
12Bromley2271053126531
13Gillingham2293102221130
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham238693436-230
15Colchester UnitedColchester2251252623327
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood216962726127
17BarrowBarrow227692122-127
18Newport CountyNewport2275102938-926
19Tranmere RoversTranmere215791630-1422
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2364131935-1622
21Swindon TownSwindon2349102837-921
22Accrington StanleyAccrington2147102738-1119
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2246121734-1718
24Morecambe2345142039-1917
> League Two Full Table


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