Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 49.02%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 24.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.56%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (8.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Como would win this match.
Result | ||
Como | Draw | Lecce |
49.02% (![]() | 26.42% (![]() | 24.56% (![]() |
Both teams to score 47.27% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.53% (![]() | 56.47% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.53% (![]() | 77.47% (![]() |
Como Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.9% (![]() | 23.09% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.06% (![]() | 56.94% (![]() |
Lecce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.46% (![]() | 38.53% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.72% (![]() | 75.28% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Como | Draw | Lecce |
1-0 @ 13.04% (![]() 2-0 @ 9.56% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.11% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.67% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.45% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.12% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.71% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.63% ( ![]() Other @ 2.72% Total : 49.02% | 1-1 @ 12.43% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.9% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.35% ( ![]() Other @ 0.74% Total : 26.41% | 0-1 @ 8.49% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.93% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.05% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.89% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.38% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.29% ( ![]() Other @ 1.54% Total : 24.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter Milan | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 61 |
2 | Napoli | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 45 | 23 | 22 | 60 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 28 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 63 | 26 | 37 | 58 |
4 | Juventus | 28 | 13 | 13 | 2 | 45 | 25 | 20 | 52 |
5 | Lazio | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 50 | 36 | 14 | 51 |
6 | Bologna | 28 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 44 | 34 | 10 | 50 |
7 | Roma | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 43 | 30 | 13 | 46 |
8 | Fiorentina | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 43 | 30 | 13 | 45 |
9 | AC Milan | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 42 | 32 | 10 | 44 |
10 | Udinese | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 40 |
11 | Torino | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 35 |
12 | Genoa | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 32 |
13 | Como | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 29 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 28 | 43 | -15 | 26 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 28 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 28 | 58 | -30 | 26 |
16 | Lecce | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 20 | 46 | -26 | 25 |
17 | Parma | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 24 |
18 | Empoli | 28 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 23 | 45 | -22 | 22 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 28 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 23 | 42 | -19 | 19 |
20 | Monza | 28 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 23 | 48 | -25 | 14 |
> Serie A Full Table |