Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 49.02%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 24.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.56%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (8.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Como would win this match.
Result | ||
Como | Draw | Lecce |
49.02% ( 0.14) | 26.42% ( -0) | 24.56% ( -0.14) |
Both teams to score 47.27% ( -0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.53% ( -0.1) | 56.47% ( 0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.53% ( -0.08) | 77.47% ( 0.08) |
Como Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.9% ( 0.02) | 23.09% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.06% ( 0.03) | 56.94% ( -0.03) |
Lecce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.46% ( -0.18) | 38.53% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.72% ( -0.17) | 75.28% ( 0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Como | Draw | Lecce |
1-0 @ 13.04% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 9.56% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.11% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.45% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.63% ( 0) Other @ 2.72% Total : 49.02% | 1-1 @ 12.43% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.9% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.74% Total : 26.41% | 0-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.54% Total : 24.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 20 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 32 | 12 | 20 | 47 |
2 | Inter Milan | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 48 | 17 | 31 | 44 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 43 |
4 | Lazio | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
5 | Juventus | 20 | 7 | 13 | 0 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 34 |
6 | Fiorentina | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 32 |
7 | AC Milan | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 31 |
8 | Bologna | 19 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 30 |
9 | Udinese | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 26 |
10 | Roma | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 24 |
11 | Genoa | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 23 |
12 | Torino | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 22 |
13 | Empoli | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
14 | Lecce | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 32 | -18 | 20 |
15 | Parma | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 19 |
16 | Como | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 19 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 20 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 19 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 18 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
20 | Monza | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 13 |
> Serie A Full Table |