Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 59.11%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 18.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Heracles win it was 0-1 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.