Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Milsami win with a probability of 38.59%. A win for Panevezys had a probability of 36.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Milsami win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.73%) and 2-0 (5.8%). The likeliest Panevezys win was 1-2 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Milsami would win this match.