We said: Wrexham 1-0 Stevenage
Considering that Stevenage have been in fine form at the back, it would not be surprising if Tuesday's match was low scoring.
Wrexham should be seen as clear favourites given their phenomenal home record, but they will almost certainly have their work cut out to break down the visitors' defence.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 40.89%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 29.84% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.16%) and 2-1 (7.9%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (11.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.