Home > Football > League Two
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Notts County win with a probability of 52.4%. A win for Carlisle United has a probability of 24.13% and a draw has a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Carlisle United win is 0-1 (6.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.06%).
Result | ||
Notts County | Draw | Carlisle United |
52.4% ( 2.11) | 23.47% ( -0.38) | 24.13% ( -1.73) |
Both teams to score 55.79% ( -0.54) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.96% ( 0.13) | 45.04% ( -0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.61% ( 0.13) | 67.39% ( -0.12) |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.82% ( 0.84) | 17.18% ( -0.84) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.56% ( 1.46) | 47.44% ( -1.46) |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.36% ( -1.35) | 32.64% ( 1.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.81% ( -1.54) | 69.19% ( 1.54) |
Score Analysis |
Notts County | Draw | Carlisle United |
1-0 @ 9.88% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 8.7% ( 0.42) 3-1 @ 5.72% ( 0.22) 3-0 @ 5.11% ( 0.38) 3-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.52% ( 0.16) 4-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.22) 4-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.88% Total : 52.4% | 1-1 @ 11.06% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 5.61% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.14) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.48% | 0-1 @ 6.28% ( -0.27) 1-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.33) 0-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.29) 1-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.22) 2-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.16) Other @ 2.48% Total : 24.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 27 | 18 | 4 | 5 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 58 |
2 | Notts County | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 43 | 27 | 16 | 47 |
3 | Bradford CityBradford | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 47 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 28 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 47 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 46 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 45 |
7 | Port Vale | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 45 |
8 | Salford City | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 43 |
9 | Chesterfield | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 31 | 12 | 39 |
10 | Grimsby Town | 28 | 12 | 3 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 39 |
11 | MK Dons | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 41 | 38 | 3 | 38 |
12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 36 |
13 | Bromley | 27 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 35 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 35 |
15 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 27 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
16 | Swindon TownSwindon | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 34 |
17 | Gillingham | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 32 |
18 | BarrowBarrow | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 31 |
19 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 29 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 29 |
21 | Newport CountyNewport | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 27 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 20 | 43 | -23 | 26 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 21 |
24 | Morecambe | 27 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 22 | 42 | -20 | 20 |
> League Two Full Table |