UEFA Conference League

Europa Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg

Aug 17, 2023 at 6.45pm UK

MCH Arena

Midtjylland
5 - 1
Omonia

(FC Midtjylland win 5-2 on aggregate)

Kyu-Sung (27' pen.), Gluda Dju (43', 45+3', 64'), Gigovic (80')
Simsir (34'), Olsson (52'), Martinez (77')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Kakoullis (31')
Matthews (17'), Kakoullis (24'), Bachirou (25'), Bezus (34'), Ansarifard (76'), Simic (90+2')
Kousoulos (24')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Europa Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between FC Midtjylland and Omonia.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Midtjylland

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Vejle 1-2 Midtjylland
Sunday, August 13 at 1pm in Danish Superliga

Goals
for

Omonia

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Omonia 1-0 Midtjylland
Thursday, August 10 at 6pm in Europa Conference League

	Team	Goals scored	Avg per game	Top scorer
1	Nordsjaelland	15	3.75	Nuamah
2	Copenhagen	11	2.75	Goncalves
3	Brondby	7	1.75	Vallys
4	Lyngby Boldklub	7	1.75	Finnbogason
5	Aarhus	6	1.50	Mortensen
6	Midtjylland	6	1.50	Kyu-Sung
7	Odense	6	1.50	Kadrii
8	Silkeborg	5	1.25	Rasmussen
9	Viborg	5	1.25	Ementa
10	Randers	4	1.00	Andersson
11	Vejle	4	1.00	Onugkha
12	Hvidovre	2	0.50	Jakobsen

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Midtjylland win with a probability of 65.88%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Omonia had a probability of 13.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Midtjylland win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.87%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Omonia win it was 0-1 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Midtjylland would win this match.

Result
FC Midtjylland	Draw	Omonia
65.88% ( 0.13)	20.18% ( 0.13)	13.94% ( -0.25)

Both teams to score 48.16% (

-1.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.99% (

-1.08)

46.01% (

1.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.69% (

-1.03)

68.32% (

1.04)

FC Midtjylland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.89% (

-0.29)

13.11% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.24% (

-0.6)

39.76% (

0.6)

Omonia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.43% (

-1.04)

44.58% (

1.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.41% (

-0.85)

80.59% (

0.86)

Score Analysis

FC Midtjylland 65.88%

Omonia 13.94%

Draw 20.18%

FC Midtjylland	Draw	Omonia
2-0 @ 12.06% ( 0.29) 1-0 @ 11.87% ( 0.41) 2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 8.17% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 6.6% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 4.15% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.35% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.12) 5-0 @ 1.69% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.87% Total : 65.88%	1-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.85% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.8% Total : 20.18%	0-1 @ 4.72% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.33% Total : 13.94%