Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 17, 2023 at 6.45pm UK
MCH Arena
Midtjylland5 - 1Omonia
Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between FC Midtjylland and Omonia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Vejle 1-2 Midtjylland
Sunday, August 13 at 1pm in Danish Superliga
Sunday, August 13 at 1pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Omonia 1-0 Midtjylland
Thursday, August 10 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, August 10 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
| Team | Goals scored | Avg per game | Top scorer | |
| 1 | Nordsjaelland | 15 | 3.75 | Nuamah |
| 2 | Copenhagen | 11 | 2.75 | Goncalves |
| 3 | Brondby | 7 | 1.75 | Vallys |
| 4 | Lyngby Boldklub | 7 | 1.75 | Finnbogason |
| 5 | Aarhus | 6 | 1.50 | Mortensen |
| 6 | Midtjylland | 6 | 1.50 | Kyu-Sung |
| 7 | Odense | 6 | 1.50 | Kadrii |
| 8 | Silkeborg | 5 | 1.25 | Rasmussen |
| 9 | Viborg | 5 | 1.25 | Ementa |
| 10 | Randers | 4 | 1.00 | Andersson |
| 11 | Vejle | 4 | 1.00 | Onugkha |
| 12 | Hvidovre | 2 | 0.50 | Jakobsen |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Midtjylland win with a probability of 65.88%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Omonia had a probability of 13.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Midtjylland win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.87%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Omonia win it was 0-1 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Midtjylland would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Midtjylland | Draw | Omonia |
65.88% ( 0.13) | 20.18% ( 0.13) | 13.94% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 48.16% ( -1.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
