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Europa Conference League header WWW

UEFA Conference League
Fiorentina logo
Conference League | Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Aug 31, 2023 at 7pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina
2 - 0
Rapid Vienna

Gonzalez (59', 90' pen.)
Mandragora (19'), Italiano (20'), Arthur (52'), Italiano (64'), Sottil (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Kuhn (19'), Kerschbaum (25'), Querfeld (43'), Sattlberger (82'), Grull (89'), Auer (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Fiorentina and Rapid Vienna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-2 Lecce
Sunday, August 27 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Rapid Vienna

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Rapid Vienna 1-1 Swarovski
Sunday, August 27 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga

We said: Fiorentina 2-1 Rapid Vienna (2-2 on aggregate after extra time; Fiorentina win on penalties)

 Consistently unpredictable, just when Fiorentina seem to be building momentum they often shoot themselves in the foot. Recent results have shown that the Viola remain a law unto themselves, so Vincenzo Italiano's men may have to take the long route into the group stage - extra time and spot-kicks could even be required to edge out a spirited Rapid Vienna side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 49.58%. A win for Rapid Vienna had a probability of 28.19% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.99%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Rapid Vienna win was 1-2 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawRapid Vienna
49.58% (0.00099999999999767 0) 22.24%28.19% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Both teams to score 64.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.24% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)35.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.17% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)57.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.21%14.79% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.94% (0.00099999999999767 0)43.06%
Rapid Vienna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.29% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)24.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.75% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)59.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 49.58%
    Rapid Vienna 28.19%
    Draw 22.24%
FiorentinaDrawRapid Vienna
2-1 @ 9.33%
1-0 @ 6.99% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 6.68% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 5.94%
3-0 @ 4.25%
3-2 @ 4.16%
4-1 @ 2.84%
4-0 @ 2.03% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.99%
5-1 @ 1.09% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 49.58%
1-1 @ 9.77%
2-2 @ 6.52%
0-0 @ 3.66%
3-3 @ 1.94%
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 22.24%
1-2 @ 6.83%
0-1 @ 5.11% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.57%
1-3 @ 3.18% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 3.04%
0-3 @ 1.66%
1-4 @ 1.11% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 28.19%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Rapid Vienna

Fiorentina
75.0%
Draw
10.0%
Rapid Vienna
15.0%
40
Head to Head
Aug 24, 2023 6pm
Playoffs 1st Leg
Rapid Vienna
1-0
Fiorentina
Grull (34' pen.)
Hofmann (53'), Barisic (74+74'), Schick (90')

Mandragora (33'), Bonaventura (42')
> Preview
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