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Serie A | Gameweek 2
Aug 27, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Lecce logo

Fiorentina
2 - 2
Lecce

Gonzalez (3'), Duncan (25')
Martinez (59')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Rafia (49'), Krstovic (76')
Pongracic (15'), Gendrey (54'), Chinazaekpere Dorgu (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rapid Vienna 1-0 Fiorentina
Thursday, August 24 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Lecce 2-1 Lazio
Sunday, August 20 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Fiorentina 3-1 Lecce

Fiorentina may have failed to score in midweek, but they generally find the target on home soil and should be able to breach Lecce's defence more than once. Boasting an array of attacking options, the Viola are well placed to start the Serie A season with back-to-back wins. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 57.86%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 18.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.88%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
FiorentinaDrawLecce
57.86% (0.211 0.21) 23.28% (-0.116 -0.12) 18.87% (-0.096 -0.1)
Both teams to score 49.04% (0.189 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.64% (0.335 0.34)50.36% (-0.33600000000001 -0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.7% (0.297 0.3)72.3% (-0.298 -0.3)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.85% (0.196 0.2)17.15% (-0.197 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.62% (0.345 0.34)47.38% (-0.346 -0.35)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.19% (0.087000000000003 0.09)40.82% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.61% (0.077000000000002 0.08)77.39% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 57.85%
    Lecce 18.87%
    Draw 23.27%
FiorentinaDrawLecce
1-0 @ 12.34% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-0 @ 10.88%
2-1 @ 9.75% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 6.4% (0.037 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.73% (0.047 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.82% (0.035 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.57% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.53% (0.037 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.019 0.02)
5-0 @ 0.99% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 57.85%
1-1 @ 11.05% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 7% (-0.095000000000001 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.37% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 23.27%
0-1 @ 6.27% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
1-2 @ 4.96% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.81% (-0.025 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.48%
2-3 @ 1.31% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 18.87%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Lecce

Fiorentina
Draw
Lecce
Fiorentina
77.5%
Draw
10.0%
Lecce
12.5%
40
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 27
Fiorentina
1-0
Lecce
Gallo (27' og.)
Oct 17, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Lecce
1-1
Fiorentina
Ceesay (43')
Kouame (48')
Jul 15, 2020 8.45pm
Nov 30, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Fiorentina
0-1
Lecce
La Mantia (49')
Rispoli (29'), Petriccione (60'), Rossettini (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli35238455253077
2Inter Milan35228573334074
3Atalanta BCAtalanta35208771314068
4Juventus361616453332064
5Lazio361810859461364
6Roma35189850321863
7Bologna361614654411362
8AC Milan361791058401860
9Fiorentina351781053351859
10Como36139144849-148
11Torino351014113940-144
12Udinese35128153849-1144
13Genoa35912143043-1339
14CagliariCagliari3689193754-1733
15Parma36614164156-1532
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3595213063-3332
17Empoli36513182956-2728
18Lecce3569202457-3327
19VeneziaVenezia35414172849-2126
RMonza3529242563-3815


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