Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 38.26%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 36.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Genoa | Draw | Fiorentina |
38.26% ( -0.06) | 25.25% ( -0) | 36.49% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 56.86% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.19% ( 0.01) | 46.81% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.93% ( 0.01) | 69.07% ( -0.01) |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.88% ( -0.03) | 24.12% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.58% ( -0.04) | 58.42% ( 0.04) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.92% ( 0.04) | 25.08% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.24% ( 0.05) | 59.76% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Genoa | Draw | Fiorentina |
1-0 @ 8.6% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.46% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.12% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.01% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.43% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 1.95% Total : 38.26% | 1-1 @ 11.89% 0-0 @ 6.05% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.24% | 0-1 @ 8.37% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.23% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.79% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.7% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 1.79% Total : 36.49% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |