MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 06:16:12| >> :120:11828:11828:
Conference League | League Stage
Dec 19, 2024 at 8pm UK
Chorten Arena
NK Olimpija Ljubljana

Jagiellonia
vs.
Ljubljana

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Conference League clash between Jagiellonia Bialystok and NK Olimpija Ljubljana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ljubljana 1-4 Cercle Brugge
Thursday, December 12 at 5.45pm in Conference League

We say: Jagiellonia Bialystok 1-0 NK Olimpija Ljubljana

Losing for the first time since the middle of September last week, Jagiellonia will be raring to get back to winning ways on home soil to book their spot in the last 16. Olimpija Ljubljana realistically require maximum points in Poland to have any chance of making the top eight, but we feel that the Dragons will suffer a narrow defeat at Chorten Arena. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a NK Olimpija Ljubljana win with a probability of 37.18%. A win for Jagiellonia Bialystok has a probability of 36.95% and a draw has a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a NK Olimpija Ljubljana win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.16%). The likeliest Jagiellonia Bialystok win is 1-0 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.27%).

Result
Jagiellonia BialystokDrawNK Olimpija Ljubljana
36.95% (1.317 1.32) 25.86% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05) 37.18% (-1.265 -1.27)
Both teams to score 54.72% (0.252 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.44% (0.294 0.29)49.55% (-0.298 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.41% (0.263 0.26)71.58% (-0.26599999999999 -0.27)
Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.91% (0.89700000000001 0.9)26.09% (-0.9 -0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.85% (1.193 1.19)61.14% (-1.195 -1.2)
NK Olimpija Ljubljana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.04% (-0.565 -0.56)25.96% (0.562 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.03% (-0.76499999999999 -0.76)60.97% (0.761 0.76)
Score Analysis
    Jagiellonia Bialystok 36.95%
    NK Olimpija Ljubljana 37.18%
    Draw 25.86%
Jagiellonia BialystokDrawNK Olimpija Ljubljana
1-0 @ 9.1% (0.122 0.12)
2-1 @ 8.25% (0.187 0.19)
2-0 @ 6.11% (0.234 0.23)
3-1 @ 3.69% (0.175 0.18)
3-0 @ 2.74% (0.171 0.17)
3-2 @ 2.49% (0.08 0.08)
4-1 @ 1.24% (0.088 0.09)
4-0 @ 0.92% (0.08 0.08)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 36.95%
1-1 @ 12.27% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.77% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.56% (0.039 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.86%
0-1 @ 9.13% (-0.261 -0.26)
1-2 @ 8.28% (-0.155 -0.15)
0-2 @ 6.16% (-0.279 -0.28)
1-3 @ 3.72% (-0.132 -0.13)
0-3 @ 2.77% (-0.172 -0.17)
2-3 @ 2.5% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.25% (-0.066 -0.07)
0-4 @ 0.93% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 37.18%

Who will win Thursday's Conference League clash between Jagiellonia and Ljubljana?

Jagiellonia Bialystok
Draw
NK Olimpija Ljubljana
Jagiellonia Bialystok
71.4%
Draw
28.6%
NK Olimpija Ljubljana
0.0%
7
rhs 2.0
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3Arsenal1686229151430
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5Manchester CityMan City168352823527
6Bournemouth167452421325
7Aston Villa167452425-125
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9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
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18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
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