Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 7, 2022 at 5pm UK
Victoria Stadium
Magpies2 - 1Crusaders
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Magpies and Crusaders.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Crusaders 1-2 Larne
Saturday, April 30 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership
Saturday, April 30 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Coleraine | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Crusaders | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Dungannon Swifts | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 46.64%. A win for Magpies had a probability of 29.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.21%). The likeliest Magpies win was 2-1 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Magpies | Draw | Crusaders |
29.48% ( 0.08) | 23.88% ( 0.05) | 46.64% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 59.18% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.29% ( -0.17) | 42.71% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.88% ( -0.17) | 65.11% ( 0.17) |
| Magpies Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.63% ( -0.03) | 27.37% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.16% ( -0.04) | 62.84% ( 0.04) |
| Crusaders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.49% ( -0.11) | 18.51% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.27% ( -0.19) | 49.73% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
Magpies 29.48%
Crusaders 46.64%
Draw 23.88%
| Magpies | Draw | Crusaders |
| 2-1 @ 7.17% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.1% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.84% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1% Other @ 2.94% Total : 29.48% | 1-1 @ 11.07% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.88% | 1-2 @ 9.34% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.55% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 7.21% 1-3 @ 5.25% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 4.05% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.22% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.71% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.48% Total : 46.64% |
How you voted: Magpies vs Crusaders
Magpies
37.5%Draw
25.0%Crusaders
37.5%8
Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for Magpies
