Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 4, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Paide linnastaadion kunstmuruväljak
Paide0 - 2Anderlecht
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Paide 0-0 Ararat-Armenia (4-3 pen.)
Thursday, July 28 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, July 28 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Cercle Brugge 1-0 Anderlecht
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Charleroi | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Anderlecht | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Zulte Waregem | 2 | 1 | 3 |
We said: Paide 1-3 Anderlecht
Anderlecht boast a vastly superior squad on paper, and while that does not always translate to success on the pitch, we are backing them to come out on top in this one and take control of the tie overall. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Anderlecht win with a probability of 41.72%. A win for Paide had a probability of 29.9% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Anderlecht win was 0-1 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Paide win was 1-0 (10.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Anderlecht would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Paide | Draw | Anderlecht |
29.9% ( 0.14) | 28.38% ( 0) | 41.72% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 45.45% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
