Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 13, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
Stade Parc des Sports
Niederkorn2 - 2Gjilani
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Progres Niederkorn and Gjilani.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Niederkorn 0-5 Willem II
Wednesday, September 16 at 5.30pm in Europa League
Wednesday, September 16 at 5.30pm in Europa League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gjilani win with a probability of 40.67%. A win for Progres Niederkorn had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gjilani win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Progres Niederkorn win was 1-0 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Progres Niederkorn | Draw | Gjilani |
34.07% ( 0.03) | 25.26% ( 0.02) | 40.67% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 56.44% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.81% ( -0.08) | 47.19% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.58% ( -0.07) | 69.42% ( 0.07) |
| Progres Niederkorn Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.35% ( -0.02) | 26.65% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.1% ( -0.02) | 61.9% ( 0.02) |
| Gjilani Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.95% ( -0.06) | 23.05% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.13% ( -0.08) | 56.87% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
Progres Niederkorn 34.07%
Gjilani 40.67%
Draw 25.26%
| Progres Niederkorn | Draw | Gjilani |
| 1-0 @ 8.12% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.88% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.37% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.47% 3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.37% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 3.16% Total : 34.07% | 1-1 @ 11.92% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.14% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.26% | 0-1 @ 9.02% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.75% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.62% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.28% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.24% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.19% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 2.15% Total : 40.67% |
