UEFA Conference League

Europa Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg

Jul 14, 2022 at 3pm UK

Stadiumi i qytetit Gjilan

FK Liepaja
3 - 1
Gjilani

Karasausks (49' pen.), Belakovic (64'), Dodo (88' pen.)
Kapun (9'), Strumia (40'), Villela (45+2'), Miguel (45+3'), Belakovic (64'), Dodo (89')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Krasniqi (51')
Razak Keita (45+3'), Hoxha (68')

Coverage of the Europa Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between FK Liepaja and Gjilani.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gjilani

Last Game: Gjilani 1-0 FK Liepaja
Thursday, July 7 at 7pm in Europa Conference League

FK Liepaja

Last Game: Gjilani 1-0 FK Liepaja
Thursday, July 7 at 7pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FK Liepaja win with a probability of 39.59%. A win for Gjilani had a probability of 35.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a FK Liepaja win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.13%). The likeliest Gjilani win was 1-2 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FK Liepaja would win this match.

Result
FK Liepaja	Draw	Gjilani
39.59% ( 0.01)	24.73% ( -0.01)	35.69%

Both teams to score 58.63% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.52% (

0.05)

44.48% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.15% (

0.04)

66.85% (

-0.05)

FK Liepaja Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.6% (

0.02)

22.4% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.09% (

0.04)

55.91% (

-0.04)

Gjilani Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.55% (

0.02)

24.44% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.12% (

0.03)

58.88% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

FK Liepaja 39.59%

Gjilani 35.69%

Draw 24.73%

FK Liepaja	Draw	Gjilani
2-1 @ 8.63% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.19% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.13% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.31% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.06% 3-2 @ 3.03% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.61% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 2.35% Total : 39.59%	1-1 @ 11.54% 2-2 @ 6.08% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.48% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.73%	1-2 @ 8.13% 0-1 @ 7.71% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.43% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.82% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.86% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.55% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.35% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.84% Total : 35.69%