Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 7, 2022 at 7pm UK
Stadions Daugava
Gjilani1 - 0FK Liepaja
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Gjilani and FK Liepaja.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: FK Liepaja 0-0 CSKA Sofia (1-3 pen.)
Thursday, July 29 at 3pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, July 29 at 3pm in Europa Conference League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gjilani win with a probability of 41.08%. A win for FK Liepaja had a probability of 33% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gjilani win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest FK Liepaja win was 0-1 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gjilani in this match.
| Result | ||
| Gjilani | Draw | FK Liepaja |
41.08% ( 0.08) | 25.92% ( -0.01) | 33% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 53.91% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.67% ( 0.04) | 50.33% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.72% ( 0.04) | 72.28% ( -0.03) |
| Gjilani Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.76% ( 0.05) | 24.23% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.42% ( 0.08) | 58.58% ( -0.07) |
| FK Liepaja Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.15% ( -0.02) | 28.85% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.29% ( -0.02) | 64.71% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
Gjilani 41.08%
FK Liepaja 33%
Draw 25.92%
| Gjilani | Draw | FK Liepaja |
| 1-0 @ 9.91% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.13% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.56% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 1.86% Total : 41.08% | 1-1 @ 12.31% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.99% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.43% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.92% | 0-1 @ 8.69% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.66% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.17% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.25% 0-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 2.6% Total : 33% |
