Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 11, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Tolka Park
Shelbourne2 - 1St Joseph's
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Shelbourne and St Joseph's.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Drogheda 1-1 Shelbourne
Thursday, July 4 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Thursday, July 4 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Goals
for
for
28
Last Game: Slavia Prague 7-0 St Joseph's
Thursday, July 28 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, July 28 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
| Team | Goals scored | Avg per game | Top scorer | |
| 1 | Derry | 40 | 1.60 | Hoban |
| 2 | Waterford | 33 | 1.43 | Amond |
| 3 | Shamrock | 31 | 1.35 | Kenny |
| 4 | Shelbourne | 28 | 1.17 | Jarvis |
| 5 | Sligo | 25 | 1.09 | Chapman |
| 6 | St Patrick's | 24 | 0.96 | Keating |
| 7 | Bohemians | 22 | 1.05 | Akintunde |
| 8 | Drogheda | 22 | 0.96 | Pierrot |
| 9 | Galway United | 18 | 0.82 | Walsh |
| 10 | Dundalk | 13 | 0.57 | Gullan |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 50.46%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for St Joseph's had a probability of 24.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a St Joseph's win it was 0-1 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shelbourne would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shelbourne | Draw | St Joseph's |
50.46% ( 0.05) | 25.03% ( 0) | 24.51% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 51.27% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
