Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 7, 2022 at 7pm UK
Ecolog Arena
Shkendija2 - 0Ararat
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Shkendija and Ararat.
Form, Standings, Stats
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shkendija win with a probability of 43.6%. A win for Ararat had a probability of 33.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shkendija win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.96%) and 2-0 (6.01%). The likeliest Ararat win was 1-2 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shkendija would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shkendija | Draw | Ararat |
43.6% ( -0) | 23.2% ( 0.01) | 33.2% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 63.6% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
