Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 14, 2022 at 4pm UK
Kotaik Stadium
Ararat2 - 2Shkendija
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Ararat and Shkendija.
Form, Standings, Stats
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ararat win with a probability of 39.12%. A win for Shkendija had a probability of 37.91% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ararat win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.08%) and 2-0 (5.08%). The likeliest Shkendija win was 1-2 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ararat | Draw | Shkendija |
39.12% ( -0) | 22.97% ( -0) | 37.91% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 65.5% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.34% ( 0.02) | 35.66% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.28% ( 0.02) | 57.72% ( -0.02) |
Ararat Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.2% ( 0.01) | 18.79% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.79% ( 0.01) | 50.21% ( -0.01) |
Shkendija Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.65% ( 0.01) | 19.34% ( -0.01) |