UEFA Conference League

Europa Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg

Aug 4, 2022 at 7.55pm UK

MOL Aréna Sóstó (Székesfehérvár)

Fehervar
5 - 0
Petrocub

Dardai (20'), Kodro (23' pen.), Stopira (35'), Petryak (66'), Zivzivadze (88' pen.)
Shabanov (55'), Petryak (67'), Kojnok (83')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Avram (22'), Jardan (40'), Cotogoi (45+2'), Revenco (87')

Coverage of the Europa Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Fehervar and Petrocub Hincesti.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fehervar

Last Game: Qabala 2-1 Fehervar
Thursday, July 28 at 5pm in Europa Conference League

Petrocub Hincesti

Last Game: Laci 1-4 Petrocub
Thursday, July 28 at 7pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fehervar win with a probability of 43.12%. A win for Petrocub Hincesti had a probability of 32.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fehervar win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Petrocub Hincesti win was 0-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fehervar would win this match.

Result
Fehervar	Draw	Petrocub Hincesti
43.12% ( -0.02)	24.88% ( -0)	32.01% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 57.07% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.92% (

0.02)

46.08% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.62% (

0.02)

68.38% (

-0.02)

Fehervar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.6% (

-0)

21.4% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.6% (

-0)

54.4% (

Petrocub Hincesti Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.6% (

0.03)

27.4% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.13% (

0.04)

62.87% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Fehervar 43.12%

Petrocub Hincesti 32.01%

Draw 24.88%

Fehervar	Draw	Petrocub Hincesti
1-0 @ 9.04% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.02% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.97% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.64% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.58% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.79% 4-0 @ 1.38% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0) Other @ 2.55% Total : 43.12%	1-1 @ 11.7% 0-0 @ 5.86% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.88%	0-1 @ 7.59% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.58% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.92% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.27% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.52% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.12% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 2.95% Total : 32.01%