Europa League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 1st Leg
Feb 13, 2025 at 8pm UK
AFAS Stadion
AZ4 - 1Galatasaray
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: AZ 2-0 PEC Zwolle
Sunday, February 9 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Sunday, February 9 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Goals
for
for
38
Last Game: Gaziantep 0-1 Galatasaray
Monday, February 3 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Monday, February 3 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Goals
for
for
54
We said: AZ Alkmaar 1-1 Galatasaray
Both teams have scored in all eight of Galatasaray's Europa League fixtures this season, with their games seeing more goals than any other teams in the League Phase (35), while both sides have scored in four of AZ Alkmaar's last five matches in the competition. Goals at both ends are therefore expected, but as these two teams are keen to not lose and remain in the tie ahead of next week's second leg, we can see the spoils being shared once again at the AFAS Stadion. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 47.05%. A win for Galatasaray had a probability of 29.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.92%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Galatasaray win was 1-2 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Galatasaray |
47.05% ( -0.85) | 23.36% ( 0.22) | 29.58% ( 0.62) |
| Both teams to score 61.09% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.77% ( -0.68) | 40.22% ( 0.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.4% ( -0.71) | 62.59% ( 0.7) |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.62% ( -0.59) | 17.37% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.21% ( -1.03) | 47.78% ( 1.03) |
| Galatasaray Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.94% ( 0.06) | 26.06% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.89% ( 0.09) | 61.1% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
AZ Alkmaar 47.05%
Galatasaray 29.58%
Draw 23.35%
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Galatasaray |
| 2-1 @ 9.33% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 7.92% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 6.93% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 5.44% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 4.05% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 2.38% ( -0.11)4-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.98% Total : 47.05% | 1-1 @ 10.65% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.53% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.35% | 1-2 @ 7.17% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 6.09% ( 0.2)0-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.81% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 2.35% Total : 29.58% |
How you voted: AZ vs Galatasaray
AZ Alkmaar
40.9%Draw
19.3%Galatasaray
39.8%171
Head to Head
