KNVB Beker | Quarter-Finals
Feb 6, 2025 at 7pm UK
AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne
AZ3 - 1Quick Boys
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Willem II 0-2 AZ
Sunday, February 2 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Sunday, February 2 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Goals
for
for
36
Last Game: Quick Boys 3-2 Heerenveen
Thursday, January 16 at 8pm in KNVB Beker
Thursday, January 16 at 8pm in KNVB Beker
We said: AZ Alkmaar 2-0 Quick Boys
Quick Boys may have shown their quality against Eredivisie sides in the earlier rounds, but AZ are of a higher level than their previous opponents, and with them also boasting the home advantage, we expect the hosts to win here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 67.83%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Quick Boys had a probability of 14.24%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 1-0 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.19%), while for a Quick Boys win it was 1-2 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Quick Boys |
67.83% ( -0.33) | 17.93% ( 0.19) | 14.24% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 56.94% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.08% ( -0.61) | 34.92% ( 0.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.1% ( -0.69) | 56.9% ( 0.7) |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.56% ( -0.24) | 9.44% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 68.29% ( -0.57) | 31.71% ( 0.58) |
| Quick Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.88% ( -0.2) | 37.12% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.09% ( -0.2) | 73.91% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
AZ Alkmaar 67.83%
Quick Boys 14.24%
Draw 17.93%
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Quick Boys |
| 2-0 @ 9.76% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.04)1-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.17)3-0 @ 7.68% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.61% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 4.53% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 4.49% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 2.14% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.06)5-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.04)Other @ 4.5% Total : 67.83% | 1-1 @ 8.19% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.5% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.2% Total : 17.93% | 1-2 @ 4.06% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 3.47% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.34% ( 0)Other @ 2.07% Total : 14.24% |
How you voted: AZ vs Quick Boys
AZ Alkmaar
78.3%Draw
13.0%Quick Boys
8.7%46
Head to Head
Jan 16, 2024 8pm
Round of 16
AZ
3-3
Quick Boys
(Aggregate 3-3 | AZ win 4-2 on penalties)
Ogidi Nwankwo (59'), De Beste (90+7'), Van Duijn (113')
Reinders (18'), Staal (28'), van den Meiracker (105'), Franken (120+3'), de Beste (120+1')
Reinders (18'), Staal (28'), van den Meiracker (105'), Franken (120+3'), de Beste (120+1')
