Europa League | League Stage
Nov 7, 2024 at 8pm UK
AFAS Stadion
AZ3 - 1Fenerbahce
FT(HT: 0-0)
En-Nesyri (70')
Saint-Maximin (49'), Yuksek (54'), Becao (63'), Fred (84'), Osayi-Samuel (86'), Dzeko (90+4')
Saint-Maximin (49'), Yuksek (54'), Becao (63'), Fred (84'), Osayi-Samuel (86'), Dzeko (90+4')
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Feyenoord 3-2 AZ
Saturday, November 2 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Saturday, November 2 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Goals
for
for
22
Last Game: Trabzonspor 2-3 Fenerbahce
Sunday, November 3 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Sunday, November 3 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
We said: AZ Alkmaar 1-2 Fenerbahce
These two teams enter Thursday's match in contrasting form and the momentum is certainly with Fenerbahce, who will be regarded as favourites to come out on top in this one. Although AZ will back themselves to score for the 13th successive home match, Mourinho is expected to field a strong side and we can see the Yellow Canaries outscoring their Dutch opponents at AFAS Stadion. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 39.4%. A win for Fenerbahce had a probability of 34.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Fenerbahce win was 0-1 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Fenerbahce |
39.4% ( -0.07) | 25.81% ( -0) | 34.78% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 54.69% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.49% ( 0.02) | 49.5% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.46% ( 0.02) | 71.53% ( -0.02) |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.27% ( -0.02) | 24.73% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.72% ( -0.04) | 59.28% ( 0.04) |
| Fenerbahce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.66% ( 0.06) | 27.33% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.21% ( 0.07) | 62.78% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
AZ Alkmaar 39.4%
Fenerbahce 34.78%
Draw 25.8%
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Fenerbahce |
| 1-0 @ 9.44% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.6% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.99% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.07% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.39% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.9% ( -0)Other @ 1.79% Total : 39.4% | 1-1 @ 12.24% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.76% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.55% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.8% | 0-1 @ 8.77% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.94% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.44% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.4% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.98% Total : 34.78% |
How you voted: AZ vs Fenerbahce
AZ Alkmaar
20.7%Draw
11.4%Fenerbahce
67.9%140
