Europa League | League Stage
Jan 30, 2025 at 8pm UK
Groupama Arena
Ferencvaros4 - 3AZ
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Frankfurt 2-0 Ferencvaros
Thursday, January 23 at 8pm in Europa League
Thursday, January 23 at 8pm in Europa League
Goals
for
for
28
Last Game: AZ 1-2 Sparta
Sunday, January 26 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Sunday, January 26 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Goals
for
for
34
We said: Ferencvaros 2-1 AZ Alkmaar
AZ's away losses in this year's Europa League phase have been at Athletic Club and Spurs, clubs playing in superior divisions, although they blew a two-goal lead against eliminated Ludogorets. While the Dutch side are superior on paper, Ferencvaros' lack of a safety net for progressing regardless of the result could see the hosts push extra hard for a positive outcome at the Groupama Arena, thus edging the Eredivisie club. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 40.69%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 34.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ferencvaros would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ferencvaros | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
40.69% ( -0.02) | 24.87% ( 0) | 34.44% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 57.87% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.63% ( -0.02) | 45.37% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.29% ( -0.02) | 67.71% ( 0.02) |
| Ferencvaros Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.75% ( -0.02) | 22.25% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.32% ( -0.03) | 55.68% ( 0.03) |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.43% ( -0) | 25.58% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.56% | 60.45% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
Ferencvaros 40.69%
AZ Alkmaar 34.44%
Draw 24.87%
| Ferencvaros | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
| 2-1 @ 8.76% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.55% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.43% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.39% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.22% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.99% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.65% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.21% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0)Other @ 2.37% Total : 40.69% | 1-1 @ 11.66% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.69% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.87% | 1-2 @ 7.95% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.76% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.29% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.61% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.72% 0-3 @ 2.4% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.23% 2-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.55% Total : 34.44% |
How you voted: Ferencvaros vs AZ
Ferencvaros
45.6%Draw
15.4%AZ Alkmaar
38.9%149
