We said: FCSB 2-1 Rigas Futbola Skola
Despite the hosts having an undeniably poor start to their league season, while the visitors have enjoyed an impressive campaign to date, FCSB remain the stronger side, highlighted by already eliminating Maccabi Tel Aviv and LASK from European competition this year.
With FCSB also boasting the advantage of playing at home, we expect the hosts to secure a victory in the opening match of the 2024-25 Europa League.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FCSB win with a probability of 46.57%. A win for Rigas Futbola Skola had a probability of 28.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a FCSB win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Rigas Futbola Skola win was 0-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FCSB would win this match.