La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 23

Feb 13, 2021 at 1pm UK

Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes

Granada
1 - 2
Atletico

Herrera (66')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Llorente (63'), Correa (75')
Suarez (39'), Niguez (43'), Savic (77'), Koke (88'), Carrasco (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Granada and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 61.1%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Granada had a probability of 16.39%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.86%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for a Granada win it was 1-0 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Granada	Draw	Atletico Madrid
16.39%	22.51%	61.1%

Both teams to score 46.7%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.96%

51.04%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.1%

72.9%

Granada Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.77%

44.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.69%

80.31%

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.74%

16.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.2%

45.8%

Score Analysis

Granada 16.39%

Atletico Madrid 61.09%

Draw 22.51%

Granada	Draw	Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 5.87% 2-1 @ 4.35% 2-0 @ 2.39% 3-1 @ 1.18% 3-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.53% Total : 16.39%	1-1 @ 10.65% 0-0 @ 7.19% 2-2 @ 3.95% Other @ 0.71% Total : 22.51%	0-1 @ 13.06% 0-2 @ 11.86% 1-2 @ 9.68% 0-3 @ 7.18% 1-3 @ 5.86% 0-4 @ 3.26% 1-4 @ 2.66% 2-3 @ 2.39% 0-5 @ 1.19% 2-4 @ 1.09% 1-5 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.89% Total : 61.09%