Europa League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 18, 2024 at 7.15pm UK
Ljudski vrt
Maribor2 - 2Botev Plovdiv
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Botev Plovdiv 2-1 Maribor
Thursday, July 11 at 7pm in Europa League
Thursday, July 11 at 7pm in Europa League
Last Game: Botev Plovdiv 2-1 Maribor
Thursday, July 11 at 7pm in Europa League
Thursday, July 11 at 7pm in Europa League
We said: Maribor 1-1 Botev Plovdiv (Botev Plovdiv to win 3-2 on aggregate)
Botev Plovdiv have lost just two of their previous eight European away games, and we think that they will produce another strong away performance to hold Maribor to a draw and advance to the next stage of Europa League qualifying. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 61.58%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Botev Plovdiv had a probability of 18.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.33%) and 1-0 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for a Botev Plovdiv win it was 1-2 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Maribor | Draw | Botev Plovdiv |
61.58% ( -0.78) | 20.28% ( 0.2) | 18.13% ( 0.58) |
| Both teams to score 57.53% ( 0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
