Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage

Nov 26, 2020 at 5.55pm UK

Qarabag FK
2 - 3
Sivasspor

Zoubir (8'), Matic (51')
Qarayev (40'), Kwabena (58')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Kone (40' pen., 79'), Kayode (58')
Samassa (9'), Goiano (62'), Oztekin (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Qarabag FK and Sivasspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sivasspor win with a probability of 40.64%. A win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 32.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sivasspor win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Qarabag FK win was 1-0 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sivasspor would win this match.

Result
Qarabag FK	Draw	Sivasspor
32.02%	27.34%	40.64%

Both teams to score 49.16%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.73%

56.27%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.69%

77.31%

Qarabag FK Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.5%

32.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.98%

69.02%

Sivasspor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.82%

27.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.42%

62.58%

Score Analysis

Qarabag FK 32.02%

Sivasspor 40.63%

Draw 27.34%

Qarabag FK	Draw	Sivasspor
1-0 @ 9.93% 2-1 @ 7.27% 2-0 @ 5.58% 3-1 @ 2.72% 3-0 @ 2.09% 3-2 @ 1.77% Other @ 2.66% Total : 32.02%	1-1 @ 12.93% 0-0 @ 8.83% 2-2 @ 4.74% Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.34%	0-1 @ 11.5% 1-2 @ 8.43% 0-2 @ 7.5% 1-3 @ 3.66% 0-3 @ 3.26% 2-3 @ 2.06% 1-4 @ 1.19% 0-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.99% Total : 40.63%