Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Sep 9, 2023 at 5pm UK

Estadi Nacional

Andorra
0 - 0
Belarus

Pujol (51'), Rebes (81')

Ebong (29'), Alos (30'), Palitsevich (48'), Lisakovich (57'), Morozov (76'), Ignatovich (90+1')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Andorra and Belarus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Andorra

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Israel 2-1 Andorra
Monday, June 19 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group I Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Switzerland	4	9	10
2	Romania	4	3	8
3	Israel	4	-1	7
4	Kosovo	4	-1	3
5	Belarus	4	-6	3
6	Andorra	4	-4	1

Belarus

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Belarus 2-1 Kosovo
Monday, June 19 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group I Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Switzerland	4	9	10
2	Romania	4	3	8
3	Israel	4	-1	7
4	Kosovo	4	-1	3
5	Belarus	4	-6	3
6	Andorra	4	-4	1

Considering the improvements made by Andorra in recent months, Alvarez and co will be quietly optimistic about claiming a positive result on Saturday. However, Belarus will still be considered as the favourites to come out on top and they should do enough to secure their first competitive away win in three years. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belarus win with a probability of 57.3%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Andorra had a probability of 17.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belarus win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.06%) and 1-2 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for an Andorra win it was 1-0 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result
Andorra	Draw	Belarus
17.72% ( 0.08)	24.98% ( -0.02)	57.3% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 42.44% (

0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.86% (

0.17)

58.14% (

-0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.2% (

0.13)

78.8% (

-0.13)

Andorra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.24% (

0.19)

46.76% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.7% (

0.15)

82.3% (

-0.14)

Belarus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.71% (

0.05)

20.29% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.35% (

0.07)

52.65% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Andorra 17.72%

Belarus 57.29%

Draw 24.98%

Andorra	Draw	Belarus
1-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 4.37% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 2.74% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.29% Total : 17.72%	1-1 @ 11.5% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.49% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.51% Total : 24.98%	0-1 @ 15.13% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 12.06% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 9.18% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 6.42% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.88% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 2.56% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.95% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.27% Total : 57.29%