We said: Andorra 1-2 Belarus
Considering the improvements made by Andorra in recent months, Alvarez and co will be quietly optimistic about claiming a positive result on Saturday. However, Belarus will still be considered as the favourites to come out on top and they should do enough to secure their first competitive away win in three years.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belarus win with a probability of 57.3%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Andorra had a probability of 17.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belarus win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.06%) and 1-2 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for an Andorra win it was 1-0 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.