Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Jun 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Teddi Malcha Stadium

Israel
2 - 1
Andorra

Shlomo (42'), Solomon (61')
Weissman (26'), Shlomo (79')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Rosas Ubach (52')
Llovera (16'), San Nicolas (60'), Guillen (85')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Euro 2024 Qualifying clash between Israel and Andorra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Israel

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Belarus 1-2 Israel
Friday, June 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group I Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Switzerland	3	9	9
2	Romania	3	3	7
3	Israel	3	-2	4
4	Kosovo	3	0	3
5	Andorra	3	-3	1
6	Belarus	3	-7	0

Andorra

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Andorra 1-2 Switzerland
Friday, June 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group I Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Switzerland	3	9	9
2	Romania	3	3	7
3	Israel	3	-2	4
4	Kosovo	3	0	3
5	Andorra	3	-3	1
6	Belarus	3	-7	0

They may have only scored one Group I goal before a late double in their third fixture, but Israel offer a varied attacking threat and should have the means to break down an obdurate Andorra side. The visitors have been able to test much larger nations of late, but they will surely come up short on this occasion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Israel win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for Andorra had a probability of 34.36% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Israel win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.42%) and 1-0 (5.15%). The likeliest Andorra win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Israel in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Israel.

Result
Israel	Draw	Andorra
43.93% ( -19.2)	21.71% ( 0.52)	34.36% ( 18.68)

Both teams to score 69.78% (

20.57)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.16% (

17.02)

29.83% (

-17.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

49.01% (

18.11)

50.99% (

-18.11)

Israel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.5% (

-0.29)

14.5% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.5% (

-0.57)

42.49% (

0.57)

Andorra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.61% (

24.26)

18.38% (

-24.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.48% (

29.47)

49.52% (

-29.47)

Score Analysis

Israel 43.93%

Andorra 34.36%

Draw 21.71%

Israel	Draw	Andorra
2-1 @ 8.42% ( -1.42) 3-1 @ 5.42% ( -0.98) 1-0 @ 5.15% ( -6.66) 2-0 @ 4.97% ( -6.56) 3-2 @ 4.59% ( 1.86) 3-0 @ 3.2% ( -4.3) 4-1 @ 2.62% ( -0.51) 4-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.89) 4-0 @ 1.54% ( -2.12) 4-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.87) 5-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.21) Other @ 3.55% Total : 43.93%	1-1 @ 8.72% ( -1.35) 2-2 @ 7.13% ( 2.94) 0-0 @ 2.66% ( -3.39) 3-3 @ 2.59% ( 1.82) Other @ 0.61% Total : 21.71%	1-2 @ 7.38% ( 3.09) 0-1 @ 4.51% ( -0.65) 1-3 @ 4.17% ( 2.95) 2-3 @ 4.03% ( 2.83) 0-2 @ 3.82% ( 1.62) 0-3 @ 2.16% ( 1.53) 1-4 @ 1.77% ( 1.51) 2-4 @ 1.71% ( 1.45) 3-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.93) 0-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.78) Other @ 2.81% Total : 34.36%