MX23RW : Tuesday, November 26 16:04:27| >> :60:104:104:
Gibraltar national football team
International Friendly
Nov 19, 2022 at 5pm UK
Victoria Stadium
Andorra national football team

Gibraltar
1 - 0
Andorra

Chipolina (34')
Chipolina (10'), Jolley (54'), Casciaro (63'), Valarino (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Rubio (25'), Martinez (29'), Vieira (81'), Rebes (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's International Friendlies clash between Gibraltar and Andorra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Gibraltar 2-0 Liechtenstein
Wednesday, November 16 at 6pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Andorra 0-1 Austria
Wednesday, November 16 at 5pm in International Friendlies

We said: Gibraltar 1-1 Andorra

Both nations rarely head into games that they have a genuine chance of winning, but Saturday's clash is one that they can head into with optimism as they bid to finish the year with a positive result. Nevertheless, there is little to separate these two sides and a low-scoring draw could be on the cards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gibraltar win with a probability of 43.82%. A win for Andorra had a probability of 32.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gibraltar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.08%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Andorra win was 1-2 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gibraltar would win this match.

Result
GibraltarDrawAndorra
43.82% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03) 23.26% (0.0030000000000001 0) 32.92% (0.026999999999994 0.03)
Both teams to score 63.25% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.86% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)38.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.59% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)60.41% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Gibraltar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.16% (-0.012 -0.01)17.83% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.42% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)48.58% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Andorra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.98% (0.013999999999996 0.01)23.02% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.16% (0.021000000000001 0.02)56.83% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Gibraltar 43.82%
    Andorra 32.92%
    Draw 23.25%
GibraltarDrawAndorra
2-1 @ 8.96% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 7.08% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 6.1% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 5.15% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-2 @ 3.78% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 3.51% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 2.22% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-2 @ 1.63% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 43.82%
1-1 @ 10.39%
2-2 @ 6.58%
0-0 @ 4.11% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.85% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.25%
1-2 @ 7.64% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-1 @ 6.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.43% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 3.74% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 3.22% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 2.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.37% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.18% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 32.92%

How you voted: Gibraltar vs Andorra

Gibraltar
47.4%
Draw
34.2%
Andorra
18.4%
38
Head to Head
Jun 7, 2021 7.45pm
Andorra
0-0
Gibraltar

Mouelhi (70'), Bosio (89')
rhs 2.0
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