We said: Andorra 0-2 Romania
There were plenty of positive signs for Andorra in 2022, but those positive signs should not translate into a shock win against a side sitting over 100 places higher than them in the standings.
Romania are a far cry from the force they once were and cannot expect to find the back of the net at will, but the visitors should still encounter few roadblocks en route to an opening triumph.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Romania win with a probability of 69.18%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Andorra had a probability of 12.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Romania win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.31%) and 1-2 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.87%), while for an Andorra win it was 1-0 (4.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Romania in this match.