We said: Faroe Islands 0-1 Albania
We expect a tight game to be played out between these two nations, who both know there is plenty at stake in this match.
Neither have exactly been free-scoring in recent times, which is hardly surprising given their modest resources, but we can envisage Albania taking another tight victory home with them.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albania win with a probability of 59.32%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Faroe Islands had a probability of 16.81%.
The most likely scoreline for an Albania win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.2%) and 1-2 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Faroe Islands win it was 1-0 (6.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Albania would win this match.