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Faroe Islands national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 20, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Torsvollur
Albania national football team

Faroe Islands
1 - 3
Albania

Faero (45+1')
Joensen (49')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bajrami (20'), Asllani (51'), Muci (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Faroe Islands and Albania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Faroe Islands 0-3 Czech Republic
Saturday, June 17 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Albania 2-0 Moldova
Saturday, June 17 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

We said: Faroe Islands 0-1 Albania

We expect a tight game to be played out between these two nations, who both know there is plenty at stake in this match. Neither have exactly been free-scoring in recent times, which is hardly surprising given their modest resources, but we can envisage Albania taking another tight victory home with them. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albania win with a probability of 59.32%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Faroe Islands had a probability of 16.81%.

The most likely scoreline for an Albania win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.2%) and 1-2 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Faroe Islands win it was 1-0 (6.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Albania would win this match.

Result
Faroe IslandsDrawAlbania
16.81% (-27.119 -27.12) 23.86% (2.158 2.16) 59.32% (24.96 24.96)
Both teams to score 43.75% (-26.029 -26.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.53% (-25.634 -25.63)55.47% (25.633 25.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.34% (-25.664 -25.66)76.65% (25.663 25.66)
Faroe Islands Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.68% (-31.824 -31.82)46.32% (31.824 31.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.03% (-39.474 -39.47)81.97% (39.474 39.47)
Albania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.51% (-0.101 -0.1)18.48% (0.1 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.31% (-0.171 -0.17)49.69% (0.17 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Faroe Islands 16.81%
    Albania 59.32%
    Draw 23.86%
Faroe IslandsDrawAlbania
1-0 @ 6.59% (1.443 1.44)
2-1 @ 4.28% (-4.137 -4.14)
2-0 @ 2.54% (-2.434 -2.43)
3-1 @ 1.1% (-4.32 -4.32)
3-2 @ 0.93% (-3.662 -3.66)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 16.81%
1-1 @ 11.12% (2.403 2.4)
0-0 @ 8.56% (5.897 5.9)
2-2 @ 3.61% (-3.516 -3.52)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 23.86%
0-1 @ 14.45% (9.937 9.94)
0-2 @ 12.2% (8.377 8.38)
1-2 @ 9.39% (2.007 2.01)
0-3 @ 6.87% (4.709 4.71)
1-3 @ 5.29% (1.117 1.12)
0-4 @ 2.9% (1.984 1.98)
1-4 @ 2.23% (0.466 0.47)
2-3 @ 2.03% (-1.991 -1.99)
0-5 @ 0.98% (0.669 0.67)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 59.32%

How you voted: Faroe Islands vs Albania

Faroe Islands
25.9%
Draw
13.0%
Albania
61.1%
54
rhs 2.0
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