MX23RW : Sunday, February 16 12:13:35| >> :600:20718916:20718916:
England national football team
European Championship | Group Stage
Jun 13, 2021 at 2pm UK
Wembley Stadium
Croatia national football team

England
1 - 0
Croatia

Sterling (57')
Foden (64')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Caleta-Car (42'), Kovacic (48'), Brozovic (66')

The Match

Match Report

Raheem Sterling could see the stadium from his house growing up and scored under the arch that is etched onto his arm to secure a 1-0 win.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's European Championship clash between England and Croatia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Croatia could line up for their Euro 2020 opener with England on Sunday.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 61.38%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Croatia had a probability of 16.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a England win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.42%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for a Croatia win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for England in this match.

Result
EnglandDrawCroatia
61.38%21.98%16.64%
Both teams to score 48.79%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.5%48.5%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.37%70.63%
England Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.7%15.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.97%44.03%
Croatia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.61%42.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.23%78.77%
Score Analysis
    England 61.37%
    Croatia 16.64%
    Draw 21.98%
EnglandDrawCroatia
1-0 @ 12.17%
2-0 @ 11.42%
2-1 @ 9.81%
3-0 @ 7.15%
3-1 @ 6.14%
4-0 @ 3.36%
4-1 @ 2.88%
3-2 @ 2.63%
5-0 @ 1.26%
4-2 @ 1.24%
5-1 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 61.37%
1-1 @ 10.45%
0-0 @ 6.49%
2-2 @ 4.21%
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 21.98%
0-1 @ 5.57%
1-2 @ 4.49%
0-2 @ 2.39%
1-3 @ 1.28%
2-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 16.64%

How you voted: England vs Croatia

England
67.6%
Draw
17.5%
Croatia
14.9%
913
Head to Head
Nov 18, 2018 2pm
Oct 12, 2018 7.45pm
Jul 11, 2018 7pm
Semi-Finals
Croatia
2-1
England
Perisic (68'), Mandzukic (109')
rhs 2.0
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