World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Mar 24, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadion Stožice
Slovenia1 - 0Croatia
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovenia win with a probability of 42.55%. A win for Croatia had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slovenia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Croatia win was 0-1 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Slovenia in this match.
| Result | ||
| Slovenia | Draw | Croatia |
| 42.55% | 26.72% | 30.73% |
| Both teams to score 50.55% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
