World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Mar 24, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadion Stožice
Slovenia1 - 0Croatia
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovenia win with a probability of 42.55%. A win for Croatia had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slovenia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Croatia win was 0-1 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Slovenia in this match.
| Result | ||
| Slovenia | Draw | Croatia |
| 42.55% | 26.72% | 30.73% |
| Both teams to score 50.55% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.72% | 54.28% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.33% | 75.67% |
| Slovenia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.75% | 25.25% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40% | 60% |
| Croatia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.62% | 32.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.1% | 68.9% |
| Score Analysis |
Slovenia 42.55%
Croatia 30.73%
Draw 26.72%
| Slovenia | Draw | Croatia |
| 1-0 @ 11.25% 2-1 @ 8.73% 2-0 @ 7.75% 3-1 @ 4.01% 3-0 @ 3.55% 3-2 @ 2.26% 4-1 @ 1.38% 4-0 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.4% Total : 42.55% | 1-1 @ 12.68% 0-0 @ 8.18% 2-2 @ 4.92% Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.72% | 0-1 @ 9.22% 1-2 @ 7.15% 0-2 @ 5.2% 1-3 @ 2.69% 0-3 @ 1.95% 2-3 @ 1.85% Other @ 2.67% Total : 30.73% |
