MX23RW : Saturday, October 5 21:46:12| >> :600:458070:458070:
Alfreton Town
FA Cup | First Round
Nov 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Impact Arena

Alfreton
2 - 0
Worthing

Newall (73'), Digie (87')
Thewlis (26'), Cantrill (33'), Digie (56'), Fewster (58')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Robinson (33'), Luer (81')
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round clash between Alfreton Town and Worthing.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Alfreton 2-0 Farsley Celtic
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Bath City 0-2 Worthing
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 39.18%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 36.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.45%) and 0-2 (5.76%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 2-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Alfreton TownDrawWorthing
36.67%24.15%39.18%
Both teams to score 60.86%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.36%41.63%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.97%64.03%
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.38%22.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.77%56.23%
Worthing Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.65%21.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.68%54.31%
Score Analysis
    Alfreton Town 36.67%
    Worthing 39.18%
    Draw 24.15%
Alfreton TownDrawWorthing
2-1 @ 8.24%
1-0 @ 7.18%
2-0 @ 5.34%
3-1 @ 4.08%
3-2 @ 3.15%
3-0 @ 2.64%
4-1 @ 1.52%
4-2 @ 1.17%
4-0 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 36.67%
1-1 @ 11.08%
2-2 @ 6.36%
0-0 @ 4.83%
3-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24.15%
1-2 @ 8.56%
0-1 @ 7.45%
0-2 @ 5.76%
1-3 @ 4.4%
2-3 @ 3.27%
0-3 @ 2.96%
1-4 @ 1.7%
2-4 @ 1.26%
0-4 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 39.18%

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