FA Cup

FA Cup | Third Round

Jan 8, 2022 at 5.30pm UK

St. Andrew's Stadium

Birmingham
0 - 1
Plymouth

Woods (28'), Friend (58'), Aneke (90+6')
Friend (68')

FT
(aet)

Law (104')
Houghton (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Birmingham City and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We say: Birmingham City 1-2 Plymouth Argyle

Birmingham City will likely head into this match as the favourites, purely because of the league that they are in, but when it comes to form this season, that should not be the case. The Blues have struggled at points in this campaign, and that lack of confidence could end up costing them, providing Plymouth the chance to cause an upset. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 38.57%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 34.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%).

Result
Birmingham City	Draw	Plymouth Argyle
38.57%	26.79%	34.64%

Both teams to score 51.47%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.38%

53.61%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.88%

75.12%

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.92%

27.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.55%

62.45%

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.58%

29.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.58%

65.41%

Score Analysis

Birmingham City 38.57%

Plymouth Argyle 34.64%

Draw 26.79%

Birmingham City	Draw	Plymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 10.4% 2-1 @ 8.32% 2-0 @ 6.8% 3-1 @ 3.62% 3-0 @ 2.96% 3-2 @ 2.22% 4-1 @ 1.18% 4-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.1% Total : 38.57%	1-1 @ 12.73% 0-0 @ 7.97% 2-2 @ 5.09% 3-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.79%	0-1 @ 9.75% 1-2 @ 7.79% 0-2 @ 5.96% 1-3 @ 3.18% 0-3 @ 2.43% 2-3 @ 2.08% 1-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.48% Total : 34.64%